Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Pedro Munhoz
Kyler Phillips
44%
56%
Why
65"
Reach
Δ 7"
72"
38
Age
Δ 9y
29
20-11
Career record
Δ 8 pp
13-5
L1
Current streak
W2
20
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Munhoz: 52 sig / 1 TD ·
Phillips: 114 sig / 0 TD
Pedro Munhoz
Kyler Phillips
70
Sig strikes landed
75
154
Sig strikes attempted
164
85
Total strikes landed
93
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.9
Takedowns attempted
3.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
64s
Control time
94s
Method
Decision
74%
KO/TKO
17%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Pedro Munhoz
"The Young Punisher"
20-11
(2 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database
20 fights · 10-8
Last 5
L
UFC 292: Sterling vs. O'Malley
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. A…
—
L
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier
—
L
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
Blue corner
W2
Kyler Phillips
"The Matrix"
13-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
6 fights · 5-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
W
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
W
UFC 259: Blachowicz vs. Adesanya
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana
—