Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Robelis Despaigne
Josh Parisian
46%
54%
Why
84"
Reach
Δ 5"
79"
36
Age
Δ 1y
35
—
Current streak
L2
0
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Despaigne: 7 sig / 0 TD ·
Parisian: 2 sig / 0 TD
Robelis Despaigne
Josh Parisian
40
Sig strikes landed
44
90
Sig strikes attempted
83
49
Total strikes landed
63
0.3
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.4
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
76s
Control time
174s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
49%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Robelis Despaigne
"The Big Boy"
0-0
Career record
Height
79"
Reach
84"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
Blue corner
L2
Josh Parisian
15-9
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
6 fights · 2-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Bl…
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W
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. …
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L
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dauk…
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W
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige
—