Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Kevin Holland
Michael Page
47%
53%
Why
81"
Reach
Δ 2"
79"
31
Age
Δ 6y
37
L1
Current streak
—
20
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Holland: 29 sig / 2 TD ·
Page: 41 sig / 0 TD
Kevin Holland
Michael Page
57
Sig strikes landed
50
110
Sig strikes attempted
96
70
Total strikes landed
66
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.4
Takedowns attempted
3.8
0.50
Knockdowns
0.20
79s
Control time
181s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Kevin Holland
"Trailblazer"
29-16
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
81"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
20 fights · 12-7
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. She…
—
W
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2
—
W
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. H…
—
L
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson
—
Blue corner
Michael Page
"Venom"
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
79"
Stance
Switch
Age
37