Prelims1
Women's Flyweight
Katlyn Cerminara vs Maycee Barber
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2
·Kaseya Center
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Katlyn Cerminara
Maycee Barber
37%
63%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 3"
65"
35
Age
Δ 9y
26
18-7
Career record
Δ 12 pp
16-3
L1
Current streak
W5
16
UFC fights in our DB
10
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Cerminara: 66 sig / 1 TD ·
Barber: 84 sig / 4 TD
Katlyn Cerminara
Maycee Barber
65
Sig strikes landed
66
154
Sig strikes attempted
149
81
Total strikes landed
94
0.3
Takedowns landed
1.5
0.9
Takedowns attempted
3.4
0.00
Knockdowns
0.20
101s
Control time
155s
Method
Decision
67%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Katlyn Cerminara
"Blonde Fighter"
18-7
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
16 fights · 11-5
Last 5
L
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chi…
—
W
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler
—
W
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez
—
Blue corner
W5
Maycee Barber
"The Future"
16-3
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
65"
Stance
Switch
Age
26
In our database
10 fights · 8-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Top…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Sandh…
—
W
UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andr…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—