Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Fernie Garcia
Hyder Amil
47%
53%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 3"
70"
32
Age
Δ 2y
34
L3
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Garcia: 26 sig / 0 TD ·
Amil: 79 sig / 1 TD
Fernie Garcia
Hyder Amil
30
Sig strikes landed
43
72
Sig strikes attempted
79
48
Total strikes landed
70
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.7
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
123s
Control time
141s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L3
Fernie Garcia
10-6
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
3 fights · 0-3
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. T…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. …
—
L
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje
—
Blue corner
Hyder Amil
"The Hurricane"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Switch
Age
34