Prelims1
Welterweight
Max Griffin vs Jeremiah Wells
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Max Griffin
Jeremiah Wells
46%
54%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
38
Age
Δ 1y
37
20-14
Career record
Δ 10 pp
13-5-1
L1
Current streak
L1
15
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Griffin: 26 sig / 1 TD ·
Wells: 32 sig / 1 TD
Max Griffin
Jeremiah Wells
38
Sig strikes landed
33
71
Sig strikes attempted
79
57
Total strikes landed
58
0.4
Takedowns landed
2.3
0.8
Takedowns attempted
8.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
59s
Control time
257s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Max Griffin
"Pain"
20-14
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database
15 fights · 7-8
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. All…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Da…
—
W
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ho…
—
Blue corner
L1
Jeremiah Wells
13-5-1
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
74"
Stance
Switch
Age
37
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emm…
—
W
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov
—