Back to UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer
Prelims1 Light Heavyweight

Devin Clark vs Marcin Prachnio

UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Devin Clark
Marcin Prachnio
55% 45%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 2"
73"
34
Age
Δ 2y
36
14-10
Career record
Δ 5 pp
17-10
L1
Current streak
L1
16
UFC fights in our DB
8

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Clark: 53 sig / 0 TD · Prachnio: 101 sig / 1 TD
Devin Clark
Marcin Prachnio
34
Sig strikes landed
46
69
Sig strikes attempted
86
50
Total strikes landed
62
1.8
Takedowns landed
0.2
5.0
Takedowns attempted
0.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
211s
Control time
62s
Method
Decision
57%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
10%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Devin Clark

"Brown Bear"
14-10
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database 16 fights · 8-8
Last 5
L UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo
—
W UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spiv…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz
—
W UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muha…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann
—
Blue corner
L1

Marcin Prachnio

17-10
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database 8 fights · 3-5
Last 5
L UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodrig…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Bl…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andr…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Volkov
—
W UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor
—