Back to UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez
Prelims1 Women's Bantamweight

Luana Santos vs Stephanie Egger

UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Luana Santos
Stephanie Egger
83% 17%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 1"
68"
24
Age
Δ 12y
35
11-2
Career record
Δ 27 pp
8-6
W1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
6

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Santos: 53 sig / 2 TD · Egger: 44 sig / 1 TD
Luana Santos
Stephanie Egger
36
Sig strikes landed
26
69
Sig strikes attempted
61
53
Total strikes landed
37
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.1
0.1
Takedowns attempted
3.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.00
108s
Control time
170s
Method
Decision
24%
KO/TKO
22%
Submission
54%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Luana Santos

11-2
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos …
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Blue corner
L1

Stephanie Egger

8-6
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database 6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon
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W UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuiva…
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L UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill
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W UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill
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W UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Wal…
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