Back to UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez
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Anthony Smith vs Khalil Rountree Jr.

UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Anthony Smith
Khalil Rountree Jr.
71% 29%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 0"
76"
35
Age
Δ 2y
34
39-22
Career record
Δ 6 pp
16-7
W1
Current streak
W4
20
UFC fights in our DB
14

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Smith: 47 sig / 0 TD · Rountree Jr.: 53 sig / 0 TD
Anthony Smith
Khalil Rountree Jr.
46
Sig strikes landed
39
103
Sig strikes attempted
78
44
Total strikes landed
45
0.3
Takedowns landed
0.3
1.6
Takedowns attempted
0.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
31s
Control time
54s
Method
Decision
24%
KO/TKO
66%
Submission
10%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Anthony Smith

"Lionheart"
39-22
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database 20 fights · 12-8
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. T…
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L UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
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L UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2
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W UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann
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W UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2
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Blue corner
W4

Khalil Rountree Jr.

16-7 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database 14 fights · 8-5
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos …
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W UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. All…
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W UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ank…
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W UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ti…
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L UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor
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