Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Song Yadong
Chris Gutierrez
68%
32%
Why
67"
Reach
67"
26
Age
Δ 7y
33
24-9-1
Career record
Δ 1 pp
23-7-2
W1
Current streak
W1
12
UFC fights in our DB
11
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Yadong: 77 sig / 2 TD ·
Gutierrez: 87 sig / 0 TD
Song Yadong
Chris Gutierrez
73
Sig strikes landed
73
157
Sig strikes attempted
149
77
Total strikes landed
73
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.5
1.5
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
56s
Control time
43s
Method
Decision
65%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
6%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Song Yadong
"Kung Fu Kid"
24-9-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
12 fights · 9-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ank…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. R…
—
W
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane
—
Blue corner
W1
Chris Gutierrez
"El Guapo"
23-7-2
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
11 fights · 8-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Bar…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. A…
—
W
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Da…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodri…
—