Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Josh Quinlan
Danny Barlow
38%
62%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 7"
79"
31
Age
Δ 2y
28
L1
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Quinlan: 39 sig / 0 TD ·
Barlow: 95 sig / 0 TD
Josh Quinlan
Danny Barlow
28
Sig strikes landed
40
66
Sig strikes attempted
81
39
Total strikes landed
56
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.1
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
85s
Control time
126s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
43%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Josh Quinlan
"Bushido"
6-4
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz
—
Blue corner
Danny Barlow
"LeftHand2God"
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
79"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29