Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Anthony Hernandez
Roman Kopylov
66%
34%
Why
75"
Reach
75"
30
Age
Δ 2y
32
16-3
Career record
Δ 8 pp
16-5
W4
Current streak
W4
7
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Hernandez: 34 sig / 3 TD ·
Kopylov: 35 sig / 0 TD
Anthony Hernandez
Roman Kopylov
38
Sig strikes landed
41
86
Sig strikes attempted
80
52
Total strikes landed
50
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.2
5.7
Takedowns attempted
0.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
161s
Control time
19s
Method
Decision
31%
KO/TKO
53%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W4
Anthony Hernandez
"Fluffy"
16-3
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
W
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Ko…
—
W
UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Ha…
—
Blue corner
W4
Roman Kopylov
16-5
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. She…
—
W
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuiva…
—
L
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
—