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Prelims2 Women's Bantamweight

Jasmine Jasudavicius vs Priscila Cachoeira

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Jasmine Jasudavicius
Priscila Cachoeira
73% 27%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 3"
65"
35
Age
Δ 0y
35
15-5
Career record
Δ 16 pp
13-9
L1
Current streak
L1
5
UFC fights in our DB
9

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 3
Jasudavicius: 93 sig / 2 TD · Cachoeira: 24 sig / 0 TD
Jasmine Jasudavicius
Priscila Cachoeira
51
Sig strikes landed
43
120
Sig strikes attempted
96
81
Total strikes landed
69
2.4
Takedowns landed
0.3
5.5
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.00
Knockdowns
0.20
254s
Control time
53s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
25%
Submission
19%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Jasmine Jasudavicius

15-5
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database 5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. She…
W UFC 289: Nunes vs. Aldana
W UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen
L UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emm…
W UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane
Blue corner
L1

Priscila Cachoeira

"Zombie Girl"
13-9
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database 9 fights · 4-5
Last 5
L UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2
W UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz
W UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. …
L UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier
W UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler