Back to UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis
Prelims2 Flyweight

Malcolm Gordon vs Jimmy Flick

UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis ·Scotiabank Arena
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Malcolm Gordon
Jimmy Flick
49% 51%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 3"
68"
34
Age
Δ 0y
33
14-9
Career record
Δ 2 pp
17-10
L2
Current streak
L2
6
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Gordon: 37 sig / 1 TD · Flick: 3 sig / 1 TD
Malcolm Gordon
Jimmy Flick
24
Sig strikes landed
23
54
Sig strikes attempted
48
39
Total strikes landed
37
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.4
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
123s
Control time
123s
Method
Decision
24%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
44%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Malcolm Gordon

"X"
14-9
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Switch
Age
34
In our database 6 fights · 2-4
Last 5
L UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3
—
L UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
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W UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. …
—
L UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark
—
Blue corner
L2

Jimmy Flick

"The Brick"
17-10
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Ca…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. N…
—