Back to UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis
Prelims2 Welterweight

Yohan Lainesse vs Sam Patterson

UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis ·Scotiabank Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Yohan Lainesse
Sam Patterson
40% 60%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
78"
31
Age
Δ 4y
28
9-4
Career record
Δ 4 pp
14-4-1
L1
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Lainesse: 1 sig / 0 TD · Patterson: 5 sig / 1 TD
Yohan Lainesse
Sam Patterson
32
Sig strikes landed
28
79
Sig strikes attempted
66
48
Total strikes landed
55
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.3
2.3
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.40
Knockdowns
0.40
98s
Control time
129s
Method
Decision
67%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
7%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Yohan Lainesse

"White Lion"
9-4
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen
—
W UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson
—
L UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera
—
Blue corner
L1

Sam Patterson

14-4-1
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC 286: Edwards vs. Usman 3
—