Main
Featherweight
Arnold Allen vs Movsar Evloev
UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis
·Scotiabank Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Arnold Allen
Movsar Evloev
44%
56%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
30
Age
Δ 0y
30
21-5
Career record
Δ 19 pp
21-0
L1
Current streak
W7
11
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Allen: 59 sig / 0 TD ·
Evloev: 51 sig / 5 TD
Arnold Allen
Movsar Evloev
55
Sig strikes landed
61
134
Sig strikes attempted
116
70
Total strikes landed
114
0.7
Takedowns landed
3.7
2.5
Takedowns attempted
7.0
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
91s
Control time
326s
Method
Decision
76%
KO/TKO
12%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Arnold Allen
"Almighty"
21-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
11 fights · 10-1
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. A…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. All…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Asp…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Ho…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Do…
—
Blue corner
W7
Movsar Evloev
21-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
7 fights · 7-0
Last 5
W
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Roz…
—
W
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2
—
W
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—