Prelims1
Light Heavyweight
Alonzo Menifield vs Dustin Jacoby
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington
·T-Mobile Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Alonzo Menifield
Dustin Jacoby
56%
44%
Why
76"
Reach
76"
36
Age
Δ 0y
36
19-6-1
Career record
Δ 3 pp
23-9-1
W1
Current streak
W1
11
UFC fights in our DB
12
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Menifield: 68 sig / 1 TD ·
Jacoby: 93 sig / 0 TD
Alonzo Menifield
Dustin Jacoby
38
Sig strikes landed
49
84
Sig strikes attempted
106
49
Total strikes landed
61
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.3
4.0
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
121s
Control time
54s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Alonzo Menifield
"Atomic"
19-6-1
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
11 fights · 7-3
Last 5
W
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodrig…
—
D
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanov…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Ara…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Roz…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo
—
Blue corner
W1
Dustin Jacoby
"The Hanyak"
23-9-1
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
12 fights · 7-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. A…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. All…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rod…
—
W
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
—