Prelims1
Women's Bantamweight
Tainara Lisboa vs Ravena Oliveira
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Tainara Lisboa
Ravena Oliveira
48%
52%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 2"
65"
33
Age
Δ 6y
27
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Lisboa: 18 sig / 3 TD ·
Oliveira: 15 sig / 2 TD
Tainara Lisboa
Ravena Oliveira
39
Sig strikes landed
36
94
Sig strikes attempted
79
64
Total strikes landed
55
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.9
Takedowns attempted
1.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
174s
Control time
144s
Method
Decision
53%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Tainara Lisboa
"Thai Panther"
8-4
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
Blue corner
Ravena Oliveira
"Kenoudy"
0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27