Prelims1
Lightweight
Terrance McKinney vs Brendon Marotte
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Terrance McKinney
Brendon Marotte
66%
34%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 4"
70"
29
Age
Δ 1y
28
W1
Current streak
—
7
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
McKinney: 14 sig / 0 TD ·
Marotte: 1 sig / 0 TD
Terrance McKinney
Brendon Marotte
29
Sig strikes landed
25
57
Sig strikes attempted
48
41
Total strikes landed
33
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.8
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
145s
Control time
98s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
27%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Terrance McKinney
"T. Wrecks"
19-8
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Switch
Age
29
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno…
—
L
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ank…
—
Blue corner
Brendon Marotte
"The Kid"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28