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Prelims1 Women's Bantamweight

Irina Alekseeva vs Melissa Mullins

Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Irina Alekseeva
Melissa Mullins
44% 56%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 1"
68"
33
Age
Δ 1y
32
W1
Current streak
1
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Alekseeva: 48 sig / 1 TD · Mullins: 52 sig / 0 TD
Irina Alekseeva
Melissa Mullins
30
Sig strikes landed
26
72
Sig strikes attempted
55
47
Total strikes landed
53
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.8
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
120s
Control time
138s
Method
Decision
34%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
35%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W1

Irina Alekseeva

"Russian Ronda"
6-4
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon
Blue corner

Melissa Mullins

"No Mess"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32