Prelims1
Bantamweight
Chris Gutierrez vs Alatengheili
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Chris Gutierrez
Alatengheili
74%
26%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 0"
66"
32
Age
Δ 1y
32
22-8-2
Career record
Δ 9 pp
18-10-2
L1
Current streak
W2
10
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Gutierrez: 110 sig / 0 TD ·
Alatengheili: 38 sig / 2 TD
Chris Gutierrez
Alatengheili
61
Sig strikes landed
34
121
Sig strikes attempted
94
75
Total strikes landed
48
0.4
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.0
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.50
Knockdowns
0.10
46s
Control time
70s
Method
Decision
57%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Chris Gutierrez
"El Guapo"
22-8-2
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
10 fights · 7-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. A…
—
W
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Da…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodri…
—
W
UFC 258: Usman vs. Burns
—
Blue corner
W2
Alatengheili
"The Mongolian Knight"
18-10-2
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
6 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC 279: Diaz vs. Ferguson
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muha…
—
D
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The …
—