Back to UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza
Prelims1 Women's Strawweight

Ashley Yoder vs Emily Ducote

UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza ·Meta Apex
Previous fight

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Ashley Yoder
Emily Ducote
38% 62%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 6"
63"
36
Age
Δ 6y
30
8-10
Career record
Δ 12 pp
13-10
L2
Current streak
L2
10
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Yoder: 102 sig / 0 TD · Ducote: 117 sig / 1 TD
Ashley Yoder
Emily Ducote
88
Sig strikes landed
68
197
Sig strikes attempted
139
100
Total strikes landed
90
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.6
5.1
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.00
Knockdowns
0.10
195s
Control time
87s
Method
Decision
77%
KO/TKO
11%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Ashley Yoder

"SpiderMonkey"
8-10
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
36
In our database 10 fights · 3-7
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Hall vs. Stric…
—
L UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Mu…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos…
—
L UFC 252: Miocic vs. Cormier 3
—
L UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren
—
Blue corner
L2

Emily Ducote

"Gordinha"
13-10
Career record
Height
62"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
—
L UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. H…
—
W UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rod…
—