Prelims1
Women's Strawweight
Vanessa Demopoulos vs Kanako Murata
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Vanessa Demopoulos
Kanako Murata
33%
67%
Why
60"
Reach
Δ 2"
62"
35
Age
Δ 5y
30
11-9
Career record
Δ 20 pp
12-4
L1
Current streak
L1
5
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Demopoulos: 31 sig / 0 TD ·
Murata: 34 sig / 5 TD
Vanessa Demopoulos
Kanako Murata
35
Sig strikes landed
37
81
Sig strikes attempted
77
60
Total strikes landed
67
0.6
Takedowns landed
2.2
2.0
Takedowns attempted
4.8
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
149s
Control time
270s
Method
Decision
73%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Vanessa Demopoulos
"Lil Monster"
11-9
Career record
Height
62"
Reach
60"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Nzechukwu vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. …
—
W
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ch…
—
Blue corner
L1
Kanako Murata
12-4
Career record
Height
61"
Reach
62"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos…
—