Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Joe Pyfer
Abdul Razak Alhassan
86%
14%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 2"
73"
27
Age
Δ 11y
38
17-3
Career record
Δ 20 pp
13-7
W2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
11
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Pyfer: 26 sig / 3 TD ·
Razak Alhassan: 11 sig / 0 TD
Joe Pyfer
Abdul Razak Alhassan
33
Sig strikes landed
18
76
Sig strikes attempted
35
39
Total strikes landed
20
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.4
0.9
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
70s
Control time
49s
Method
Decision
21%
KO/TKO
60%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Joe Pyfer
"Bodybagz"
17-3
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
Blue corner
W1
Abdul Razak Alhassan
13-7
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database
11 fights · 6-5
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ch…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Dos…
—