Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Drew Dober
Ricky Glenn
66%
34%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 0"
70"
35
Age
Δ 0y
34
29-16
Career record
Δ 0 pp
22-10-2
L1
Current streak
L1
21
UFC fights in our DB
9
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Dober: 30 sig / 0 TD ·
Glenn: 5 sig / 0 TD
Drew Dober
Ricky Glenn
49
Sig strikes landed
57
109
Sig strikes attempted
117
56
Total strikes landed
69
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.5
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
62s
Control time
82s
Method
Decision
57%
KO/TKO
35%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Drew Dober
29-16
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database
21 fights · 12-8
Last 5
L
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
W
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ank…
—
L
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2
—
Blue corner
L1
Ricky Glenn
"The Gladiator"
22-10-2
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database
9 fights · 4-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. …
—
D
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vett…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Heavy Hit…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs.…
—