Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Jose Daniel Medina
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov
45%
55%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 1"
76"
32
Age
Δ 2y
30
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Daniel Medina: 24 sig / 0 TD ·
Gadzhiyasulov: 73 sig / 6 TD
Jose Daniel Medina
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov
34
Sig strikes landed
36
69
Sig strikes attempted
76
49
Total strikes landed
55
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.7
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
103s
Control time
139s
Method
Decision
37%
KO/TKO
49%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Jose Daniel Medina
"Chicho"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
Blue corner
Magomed Gadzhiyasulov
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30