Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Victor Hugo
Eduardo Torres Caut
69%
31%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
31
Age
Δ 2y
28
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Hugo: 9 sig / 1 TD ·
Torres Caut: 8 sig / 1 TD
Victor Hugo
Eduardo Torres Caut
40
Sig strikes landed
38
81
Sig strikes attempted
81
56
Total strikes landed
52
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.0
3.0
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
144s
Control time
121s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Victor Hugo
"Striker"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
Blue corner
Eduardo Torres Caut
"Cyborg"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28