Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Murtaza Talha
Rodolfo Bellato
47%
53%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 1"
76"
27
Age
Δ 0y
28
—
Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Talha: 48 sig / 0 TD ·
Bellato: 81 sig / 0 TD
Murtaza Talha
Rodolfo Bellato
30
Sig strikes landed
28
52
Sig strikes attempted
63
40
Total strikes landed
43
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.0
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
85s
Control time
179s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
54%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Murtaza Talha
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
Blue corner
L1
Rodolfo Bellato
"Trator"
13-4-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
DWCS 6.7
—