Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Angel Pacheco
Danny Silva
35%
65%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 1"
69"
32
Age
Δ 5y
27
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Pacheco: 197 sig / 0 TD ·
Silva: 204 sig / 2 TD
Angel Pacheco
Danny Silva
34
Sig strikes landed
37
72
Sig strikes attempted
76
46
Total strikes landed
55
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.7
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
113s
Control time
160s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Angel Pacheco
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
Blue corner
Danny Silva
"El Puma"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Switch
Age
27