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Jacobi Jones vs Daniel Allen

DWCS 7.7 ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Jacobi Jones
Daniel Allen
60% 40%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 3"
75"
27
Age
Δ 4y
31

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Jones: 88 sig / 0 TD · Allen: 114 sig / 2 TD
Jacobi Jones
Daniel Allen
34
Sig strikes landed
38
70
Sig strikes attempted
79
49
Total strikes landed
72
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.3
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
118s
Control time
152s
Method
Decision
35%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
31%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Jacobi Jones

"Big Toe"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
Blue corner

Daniel Allen

0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31