Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Steven Nguyen
AJ Cunningham
61%
39%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 2"
71"
30
Age
Δ 1y
29
W1
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Nguyen: 103 sig / 0 TD ·
Cunningham: 69 sig / 0 TD
Steven Nguyen
AJ Cunningham
63
Sig strikes landed
70
142
Sig strikes attempted
149
59
Total strikes landed
85
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.1
Takedowns attempted
3.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
57s
Control time
146s
Method
Decision
24%
KO/TKO
69%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Steven Nguyen
"The Ninja"
11-2
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Switch
Age
30
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
DWCS 5.4
—
L
DWCS 3.6
—
Blue corner
AJ Cunningham
"The Savage"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29