Back to UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis
Main Catch Weight

Elves Brener vs Kaynan Kruschewsky

UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis ·Ginasio do Ibirapuera
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Elves Brener
Kaynan Kruschewsky
63% 37%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 0"
73"
26
Age
Δ 6y
33
W2
Current streak
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2
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Brener: 16 sig / 0 TD · Kruschewsky: 8 sig / 0 TD
Elves Brener
Kaynan Kruschewsky
54
Sig strikes landed
43
108
Sig strikes attempted
102
69
Total strikes landed
56
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.1
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
114s
Control time
121s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
16%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Elves Brener

17-6
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database 2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
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W UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanov…
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Blue corner

Kaynan Kruschewsky

"Bahia"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33