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Main Middleweight

Caio Borralho vs Abus Magomedov

UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis ·Ginasio do Ibirapuera
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Caio Borralho
Abus Magomedov
53% 47%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 3"
78"
31
Age
Δ 2y
33
19-2
Career record
Δ 15 pp
28-8-1
W4
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Borralho: 51 sig / 0 TD · Magomedov: 38 sig / 0 TD
Caio Borralho
Abus Magomedov
28
Sig strikes landed
18
52
Sig strikes attempted
43
51
Total strikes landed
30
2.0
Takedowns landed
0.3
5.5
Takedowns attempted
0.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
249s
Control time
44s
Method
Decision
36%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
26%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W4

Caio Borralho

"The Natural"
19-2 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database 4 fights · 4-0
Last 4
W UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon
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W UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
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W UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
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W UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muha…
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Blue corner
L1

Abus Magomedov

28-8-1
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
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W UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuiva…
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