Prelims1
Welterweight
Rinat Fakhretdinov vs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis
·Ginasio do Ibirapuera
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Rinat Fakhretdinov
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
85%
15%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 1"
73"
32
Age
Δ 5y
37
25-1-1
Career record
Δ 22 pp
26-10-1
W3
Current streak
W2
3
UFC fights in our DB
13
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Majority · Round 3
Fakhretdinov: 87 sig / 1 TD ·
Zaleski dos Santos: 75 sig / 0 TD
Rinat Fakhretdinov
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
43
Sig strikes landed
41
86
Sig strikes attempted
101
62
Total strikes landed
56
3.8
Takedowns landed
-0.1
4.8
Takedowns attempted
0.7
0.40
Knockdowns
0.00
413s
Control time
22s
Method
Decision
60%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Rinat Fakhretdinov
"Gladiator"
25-1-1
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Roz…
—
Blue corner
W2
Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos
"Capoeira"
26-10-1
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
13 fights · 10-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs…
—
W
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
—
L
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Olivei…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zh…
—