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Prelims1 Women's Strawweight

Eduarda Moura vs Montserrat Conejo Ruiz

UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis ·Ginasio do Ibirapuera
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Eduarda Moura
Montserrat Conejo Ruiz
70% 30%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 6"
61"
30
Age
Δ 1y
31
—
Current streak
L2
0
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Moura: 57 sig / 3 TD · Ruiz: 5 sig / 0 TD
Eduarda Moura
Montserrat Conejo Ruiz
38
Sig strikes landed
18
65
Sig strikes attempted
45
72
Total strikes landed
43
0.9
Takedowns landed
2.0
1.1
Takedowns attempted
4.5
0.20
Knockdowns
-0.10
119s
Control time
266s
Method
Decision
66%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Eduarda Moura

"Ronda"
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
Blue corner
L2

Montserrat Conejo Ruiz

10-6
Career record
Height
60"
Reach
61"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
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