Prelims1
Women's Strawweight
Angela Hill vs Denise Gomes
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis
·Ginasio do Ibirapuera
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Angela Hill
Denise Gomes
19%
81%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 2"
63"
39
Age
Δ 15y
24
19-17
Career record
Δ 28 pp
13-3
L1
Current streak
W2
23
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Hill: 76 sig / 5 TD ·
Gomes: 62 sig / 1 TD
Angela Hill
Denise Gomes
51
Sig strikes landed
68
93
Sig strikes attempted
138
68
Total strikes landed
98
1.6
Takedowns landed
1.3
2.2
Takedowns attempted
3.5
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
255s
Control time
165s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Angela Hill
"Overkill"
19-17
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
39
In our database
23 fights · 10-13
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. H…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dauk…
—
Blue corner
W2
Denise Gomes
"Dee"
13-3
Career record
Height
62"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodrig…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. A…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—