Prelims1
Light Heavyweight
Vitor Petrino vs Modestas Bukauskas
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs. Lewis
·Ginasio do Ibirapuera
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Vitor Petrino
Modestas Bukauskas
70%
30%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
26
Age
Δ 4y
30
15-2
Career record
Δ 13 pp
21-7
W2
Current streak
W2
2
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Petrino: 8 sig / 1 TD ·
Bukauskas: 9 sig / 0 TD
Vitor Petrino
Modestas Bukauskas
39
Sig strikes landed
34
83
Sig strikes attempted
80
63
Total strikes landed
48
2.3
Takedowns landed
0.4
5.3
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
261s
Control time
51s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Vitor Petrino
15-2
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodrig…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Yan vs. Dvalis…
—
Blue corner
W2
Modestas Bukauskas
"The Baltic Gladiator"
21-7
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Switch
Age
30
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Ca…
—
W
UFC 284: Makhachev vs. Volkanov…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ti…
—
L
UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The…
—