Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jacob Malkoun
Cody Brundage
72%
28%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 1"
72"
28
Age
Δ 1y
29
11-3
Career record
Δ 26 pp
12-10-1
W1
Current streak
L3
5
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
DQ · Round 1
Malkoun: 28 sig / 1 TD ·
Brundage: 2 sig / 1 TD
Jacob Malkoun
Cody Brundage
29
Sig strikes landed
26
51
Sig strikes attempted
53
55
Total strikes landed
41
1.8
Takedowns landed
1.2
4.2
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
233s
Control time
124s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
27%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Jacob Malkoun
"Mamba"
11-3
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Ara…
—
L
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka
—
W
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
L
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje
—
Blue corner
L3
Cody Brundage
12-10-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
6 fights · 2-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Emmett vs. Top…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ank…
—