Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Ricardo Ramos
Charles Jourdain
50%
50%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 3"
69"
28
Age
Δ 0y
28
18-8
Career record
Δ 1 pp
19-8-1
W1
Current streak
W1
10
UFC fights in our DB
11
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Ramos: 0 sig / 2 TD ·
Jourdain: 8 sig / 0 TD
Ricardo Ramos
Charles Jourdain
53
Sig strikes landed
55
124
Sig strikes attempted
111
59
Total strikes landed
73
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.4
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
72s
Control time
74s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Ricardo Ramos
18-8
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
10 fights · 7-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emm…
—
L
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Garbr…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
Blue corner
W1
Charles Jourdain
"Air"
19-8-1
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
69"
Stance
Switch
Age
28
In our database
11 fights · 5-5
Last 5
W
UFC 288: Sterling vs. Cejudo
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuiva…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rod…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andr…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dauk…
—