Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Bryan Battle
AJ Fletcher
65%
35%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 10"
67"
29
Age
Δ 2y
27
14-2
Career record
Δ 9 pp
11-3
W1
Current streak
W1
5
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Battle: 45 sig / 1 TD ·
Fletcher: 25 sig / 0 TD
Bryan Battle
AJ Fletcher
46
Sig strikes landed
29
93
Sig strikes attempted
66
56
Total strikes landed
45
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.7
Takedowns attempted
4.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
120s
Control time
142s
Method
Decision
25%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
44%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Bryan Battle
"The Butcher"
14-2
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ch…
—
Blue corner
W1
AJ Fletcher
"The Ghost"
11-3
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
67"
Stance
Switch
Age
27
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Bl…
—
L
UFC 278: Usman vs. Edwards
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ank…
—