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Main Middleweight

Chad Hanekom vs Dylan Budka

DWCS 7.5 ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Toss-up Confidence: High
Chad Hanekom
Dylan Budka
50% 50%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 1"
75"
33
Age
Δ 10y
24

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Hanekom: 11 sig / 0 TD · Budka: 22 sig / 2 TD
Chad Hanekom
Dylan Budka
36
Sig strikes landed
34
70
Sig strikes attempted
70
54
Total strikes landed
46
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.7
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
148s
Control time
126s
Method
Decision
31%
KO/TKO
57%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Chad Hanekom

"Superman"
0-0
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
Blue corner

Dylan Budka

"The Mindless Hulk"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Switch
Age
24