Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Jean Silva
Kevin Vallejos
42%
58%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 1"
68"
27
Age
Δ 5y
22
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Silva: 87 sig / 1 TD ·
Vallejos: 71 sig / 0 TD
Jean Silva
Kevin Vallejos
38
Sig strikes landed
40
79
Sig strikes attempted
82
52
Total strikes landed
54
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.9
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
99s
Control time
161s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Jean Silva
"Lord"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
Blue corner
Kevin Vallejos
"El Chino"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Switch
Age
22