Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Isis Verbeek
Josefine Knutsson
48%
52%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 4"
60"
29
Age
Δ 1y
28
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Verbeek: 47 sig / 0 TD ·
Knutsson: 53 sig / 1 TD
Isis Verbeek
Josefine Knutsson
35
Sig strikes landed
36
84
Sig strikes attempted
78
61
Total strikes landed
64
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.0
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
128s
Control time
198s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Isis Verbeek
"Fight Queen"
0-0
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
Blue corner
Josefine Knutsson
"Thunder"
0-0
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
60"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28