Back to DWCS 7.3
Main Welterweight

Kaik Brito vs Oban Elliott

DWCS 7.3 ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Kaik Brito
Oban Elliott
65% 35%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 0"
72"
26
Age
Δ 1y
26

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Majority · Round 3
Brito: 42 sig / 0 TD · Elliott: 58 sig / 4 TD
Kaik Brito
Oban Elliott
39
Sig strikes landed
36
78
Sig strikes attempted
76
52
Total strikes landed
50
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.4
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
142s
Control time
107s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
15%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Kaik Brito

0-0
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
Blue corner

Oban Elliott

"The Welsh Gangster"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26