Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Luis Pajuelo
Robbie Ring
53%
47%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
68"
29
Age
Δ 6y
23
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Pajuelo: 34 sig / 0 TD ·
Ring: 19 sig / 1 TD
Luis Pajuelo
Robbie Ring
35
Sig strikes landed
35
74
Sig strikes attempted
74
48
Total strikes landed
47
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.0
0.9
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
113s
Control time
156s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Luis Pajuelo
"Corazon de Leon"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
Blue corner
Robbie Ring
"Razor"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23