Back to DWCS 7.3
Main Middleweight

Eli Aronov vs Zach Reese

DWCS 7.3 ·Meta Apex
Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Eli Aronov
Zach Reese
54% 46%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 5"
77"
27
Age
Δ 2y
29

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Aronov: 11 sig / 1 TD · Reese: 8 sig / 0 TD
Eli Aronov
Zach Reese
32
Sig strikes landed
36
66
Sig strikes attempted
78
46
Total strikes landed
54
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.4
2.5
Takedowns attempted
0.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
149s
Control time
93s
Method
Decision
39%
KO/TKO
45%
Submission
16%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Eli Aronov

"The Israeli Tank"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
Blue corner

Zach Reese

"Savage"
0-0
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
77"
Stance
Switch
Age
29