Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Hyder Amil
Emrah Sonmez
53%
47%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 1"
71"
33
Age
Δ 2y
31
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Amil: 26 sig / 0 TD ·
Sonmez: 22 sig / 5 TD
Hyder Amil
Emrah Sonmez
35
Sig strikes landed
38
73
Sig strikes attempted
78
48
Total strikes landed
55
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.4
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
115s
Control time
148s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Hyder Amil
"The Hurricane"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Switch
Age
33
Blue corner
Emrah Sonmez
"Anatolian Wolf"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31