Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Eduarda Moura
Janaina Silva
76%
24%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 7"
60"
30
Age
Δ 2y
32
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Moura: 6 sig / 1 TD ·
Silva: 0 sig / 0 TD
Eduarda Moura
Janaina Silva
40
Sig strikes landed
32
92
Sig strikes attempted
73
74
Total strikes landed
58
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.9
0.8
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
147s
Control time
170s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
23%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Eduarda Moura
"Ronda"
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
Blue corner
Janaina Silva
"Jana-Iron-Hand"
0-0
Career record
Height
61"
Reach
60"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32