Back to DWCS 7.2
Main Light Heavyweight

Ibo Aslan vs Paulo Renato Junior

DWCS 7.2 ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Ibo Aslan
Paulo Renato Junior
66% 34%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 4"
73"
27
Age
Δ 2y
30
—
Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Aslan: 21 sig / 0 TD · Renato Junior: 8 sig / 0 TD
Ibo Aslan
Paulo Renato Junior
56
Sig strikes landed
42
124
Sig strikes attempted
84
69
Total strikes landed
56
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.8
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
119s
Control time
76s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
11%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Ibo Aslan

"The Last Ottoman"
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
Blue corner
L1

Paulo Renato Junior

12-4
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L DWCS 6.3
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