Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
George Hardwick
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady
58%
42%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 3"
69"
27
Age
Δ 2y
28
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Hardwick: 54 sig / 0 TD ·
Al-Selwady: 69 sig / 1 TD
George Hardwick
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady
38
Sig strikes landed
39
81
Sig strikes attempted
77
53
Total strikes landed
51
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.3
2.1
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
105s
Control time
143s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
George Hardwick
"King"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
Blue corner
Abdul-Kareem Al-Selwady
"Pride of Palestine"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28